Main Objective: To assess the status of the South and Tropical Atlantic marine ecosystem and develop a framework for predicting its future changes, from months to decades, by combining ecosystem observations, climate-based ecosystem prediction and information on future socio-economic and ecosystem service changes, and thus to contribute to the sustainable management of human activities in the Atlantic Ocean as a whole.

TRIATLAS has the following specific objectives (SO):

Will European winters be increasingly mild and wet in the coming years? Will there be more extreme precipitation? Will climatic conditions be beneficial for Norwegian fisheries and hydroelectric power production? Such questions of large societal importance are at the heart of the emerging scientific field ofclimate prediction. Yet we may know more about global warming in a 100-year perspective than how climate in Norway will be in a decade.

The aim of SFE is to develop a state-of-the-art operational seasonal climate prediction system for Northern Europe and the Arctic. Tailored seasonal predictions can be helpful tools for risk mitigation, and they can guide more efficient use of resources in many sectors of society, including agriculture, energy, water, transportation, and insurance. To our users, the SFE will be accessible through a flexible interface which can be queried to obtain predictions of relevant climate indices and variables.

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Background for proposal

A unifying activity in the national climate modeling community is the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM). The development of NorESM begun in 2007, bringing together modelling expertise from in particular Bergen and Oslo. A significant funding of this activity has been Research Counsil of Norway (RCN) projects starting with NorClim (20072010),