Publication on Diurnal asymmetry to the observed global warming

Nansen Center scientists and partners have published a paper on Diurnal asymmetry to the observed global warming in Internatinal Journal of Climatology. This paper by Davy, R.; Esau, I.; Chernokulsky, A.; Outten, S. & Zilitinkevich, S. continiues a series of studies devoted to understanding of the role of the planetary boundary layer in the earth's climate.

Popular description.

The observed warming of the surface air temperature (SAT) over the last 50 years has not been homogenous. There are strong differences in the temperature changes both geographically and on different time frames. Here, we review the observed diurnal asymmetry in the global warming trend: the night-time temperatures have increased more rapidly than day-time temperatures. Several explanations for this asymmetric warming have been offered in the literature. These generally relate differences in the temperature trends to regionalized feedback effects, such as changes to cloud cover, precipitation or soil moisture.Here, we discuss a complementarymechanism through which the planetary boundary layer (PBL) modulates the SAT response to changes in the surface energy balance. This reciprocal relationship between boundary-layer depth and temperature response can explain a part of why the night-time has warmedmore rapidly than the daytime.We used amulti-linear regression model to compare the effect of the PBL, cloud cover, precipitation and soil moisture on the SAT. From this, we demonstrate that it is the boundary-layer depth which is the strongest predictor of the strength of temperature trends in the boreal annual cycle, and in all seasons except the summer.


multiple regression

The regression coefficients, bi, for each of the four components of the multi-linear regression model for each season and for the full-annual cycle. The error bars represent the 95% confidence interval on the coefficients.

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