The IPCC stated in their latest assessment report that the global warming hiatus was attributable in roughly equal measure to natural variability and reduced trends in external forcing. A detailed study involving over 2000 years of model simulations has demonstrated that according to the Norwegian Earth System Model, there is no evidence that forcings errors play a significant role in explaining the hiatus. These results has been addressed in two papers lead by Nansen Center scientists Drs. Stephen Outten and Peter Thorne recently published in Journal of Geophysical Research.
