Climate Dynamics and Prediction
General
About us
Our goal is to provide reliable climate prediction and advance the understanding of climate variability, predictability, and impacts.

Research Objectives
- Mechanisms of climate variability and predictability
Disentangle the anthropogenic climate change signal from the natural climate variability and elucidate the mechanisms of variability from sub-seasonal to multi-decadal time scales, for both developing understanding and aiding prediction.
- Understand and reduce errors in climate projections/predictions
Identify climate model errors, diagnose their origins, and assess their impacts in order to improve our simulations and build confidence in our climate simulations.
- Identify the role of teleconnections between high and low latitudes
Explore the impacts of Arctic sea ice decline on climate variability and mid-latitude extreme weather events, and the converse influence of lower latitudes on the Arctic in order to broaden the usefulness and applicability of climate predictions.
- Innovation and development of Climate services
Support the development of climate services in Norway through global climate reconstruction and prediction; advanced statistical analysis of extreme events; urban climate and air quality assessment, with the aim to deliver information of interest to stakeholders and society.
Tools and Software
We actively develop and maintain:
- The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) that combines the Norwegian Earth System model with the ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation method.
- Fine scale climate assessment (FineClim) based on PALM, ECMWF boundary conditions, and measurements.
- Validation & diagnostics packages and ocean tracer simulations for the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM)
People
Name | Area of Expertise | |
---|---|---|
Edson Silva | ||
François Counillon |
data assimilation oceanography sea ice |
|
Helene R. Langehaug | oceanography | |
Igor Ezau | other scientific field | |
Lingling Suo | meteorology | |
Noel Keenlyside | meteorology | |
Richard Davy | physics | |
Stephen Outten | geophysics | |
Tarkeshwar Singh |
data assimilation meteorology |
|
Victoria Miles |
ecology remote sensing |
|
Yanchun He | oceanography | |
Yiguo Wang | data assimilation | |
Yongqi Gao | oceanography |
Projects
Climate Futures: Climate Futures | |
TRIATLAS: South and Tropical Atlantic - climate-based marine ecosystem prediction for sustainable management (TRIATLAS) |